From -192 € to 865 €/MWh
⬇ 0 below -300 €
○ 377 below 0 €
P05 -5 € · P95 291 €/MWh
Spread: 296 €/MWh
System position — 60 days
Grid was short 45%
of the time and long 55% of the time.
Frequent surpluses — high renewables or low demand.
Asset implications
Solar PV: 377 QH below 0 € — uncontrolled injection carries a cost risk.
Industrial loads: shifting flexible loads reduces imbalance cost structurally.
Batteries: P05/P95 spread of 296 €/MWh — arbitrage opportunity.
Each kWh injected without control during these periods carries a cost. Shifting self-consumable loads (water heaters, EVs, batteries) = direct saving, no additional investment.
A battery cycled on this spread generates quantifiable value on your actual site. We model this scenario without commitment.
Shifting industrial loads to off-peak periods reduces imbalance cost structurally and recurrently over time.
A curtailment programme on these peaks generates direct revenue. Contact us for a simulation on your curtailable capacity.